── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roberto Bautista Agut a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Roberto Bautista Agut
49%51%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 41% / 59%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
89th · strong
Roberto Bautista Agut
36th · below avg
Return
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#134
model rank
#130
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ESP
203cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AucklandHardR32Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard6-3 7-6(2)