── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Alexander Bublik
21%79%
Hard: 19% / 81%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
89th · strong
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Return
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor
Alexander Bublik
49th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#134
model rank
#28
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
KAZ
203cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Clay2–0
Hard0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Stuttgart | Grass | QF | Alexander Bublik | 7-6(5) 7-6(3) |
| 2025-05-18 | Hamburg | Clay | R32 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 7-6(6) 6-4 |
| 2024-05-20 | Lyon | Clay | SF | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2023-10-16 | Antwerp | Hard | QF | Alexander Bublik | 6-4 4-6 6-2 |