── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tommy Paul 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Tommy Paul
17%83%
Hard: 17% / 83%
Clay: 18% / 82%
Grass: 23% / 77%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
89th · strong
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Return
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor
Tommy Paul
94th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#133
model rank
#16
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
203cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-04BrisbaneHardR32Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard7-6(2) 3-6 7-6(6)