── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50%50%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 91% / 9%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
89th · strong
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
17th · poor
Return
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
38th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#134
model rank
#131
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ARG
203cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR128Camilo Ugo Carabelli2-6 6-3 7-6(3)
2022-10-24Lima CHClayR16Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard7-5 7-5