── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Lorenzo Musetti
21%79%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 13% / 87%
Grass: 33% / 67%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
94th · elite
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Return
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#98
model rank
#12
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
203cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–2
Grass0–2
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-10-13 | Brussels | Hard | QF | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 6-4 7-6(8) |
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 7-6(3) 6-7(4) 6-4 |
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-7(3) 6-3 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-06-10 | Stuttgart | Grass | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 7-6(9) 7-6(9) |