── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jacob Fearnley 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Jacob Fearnley
40%60%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
89th · strong
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Return
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#133
model rank
#91
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
GBR
203cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard■ Jacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR128Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard7-6(6) 4-6 6-2