── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Holger Rune
49%51%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 15% / 85%
Grass: 43% / 57%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
89th · strong
Holger Rune
79th · strong
Return
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#134
model rank
#127
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
DEN
203cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard■ Holger Rune
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R16 | Holger Rune | 6-4 6-7(7) 6-3 |
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Holger Rune | 7-6(7) 6-3 |
| 2024-10-21 | Basel | Hard | SF | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 7-6(6) 6-4 |