── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Luca Nardi
62%38%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 84% / 16%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
89th · strong
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Return
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor
Luca Nardi
33th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#134
model rank
#175
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
203cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard■ Luca Nardi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR64Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard6-3 7-6(4)