── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Shintaro Mochizuki
74%26%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 43% / 57%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
94th · elite
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#98
model rank
#174
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
JPN
203cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardShintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23DubaiHardQ1Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard6-1 7-6(4)
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR128Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard6-4 6-2