── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Francesco Passaro 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Francesco Passaro
Thiago Monteiro
57%43%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 44% / 56%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Francesco Passaro
56th · average
Thiago Monteiro
54th · average
Return
Francesco Passaro
16th · poor
Thiago Monteiro
3th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#125
model rank
#146
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
BRA
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Francesco Passaro■ Thiago Monteiro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-01 | Genoa CH | Clay | R32 | Thiago Monteiro | 7-6(3) 6-3 |
| 2024-09-02 | Genoa CH | Clay | QF | Francesco Passaro | 4-6 6-3 7-6(5) |