── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Sonego 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Francesco Passaro
Lorenzo Sonego
34%66%
Hard: 37% / 63%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 14% / 86%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Francesco Passaro
44th · average
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Return
Francesco Passaro
7th · poor
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#162
model rank
#98
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
180cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Francesco Passaro■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-07Genoa (Nuova Valletta) CHClayR32Francesco Passaro3-6 6-4 6-4
2024-05-13Turin CHClaySFFrancesco Passaro6-3 6-2