── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Francesco Passaro
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
39%61%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 63% / 37%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Francesco Passaro
56th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Francesco Passaro
16th · poor
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#125
model rank
#82
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Francesco PassaroCamilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-20UmagClayR16Camilo Ugo Carabelli6-7(5) 6-2 6-3
2022-07-25San Benedetto Del Tronto CHClayR32Francesco Passaro6-3 2-6 6-4