── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roman Andres Burruchaga a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roman Andres Burruchaga
Lorenzo Sonego
52%48%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 20% / 80%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roman Andres Burruchaga
25th · below avg
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Return
Roman Andres Burruchaga
91th · elite
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#76
model rank
#87
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ITA
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Roman Andres BurruchagaLorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-07Rome MastersClayR128Roman Andres Burruchaga6-2 6-3