── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Roman Andres Burruchaga a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
51%49%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Roman Andres Burruchaga
25th · below avg
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Roman Andres Burruchaga
91th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#76
model rank
#82
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ARG
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Roman Andres Burruchaga■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–3
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Rio de Janeiro | Clay | R32 | Roman Andres Burruchaga | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Rosario CH | Clay | F | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2025-01-27 | Piracicaba CH | Clay | QF | Roman Andres Burruchaga | 7-5 4-5 RET |
| 2023-10-30 | Guayaquil CH | Clay | QF | Roman Andres Burruchaga | 6-4 5-7 6-1 |
| 2023-09-18 | Antofagasta CH | Clay | SF | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2020-02-24 | M25 Rio Cuarto | Clay | QF | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 7-6(3) 6-4 |