── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Roman Andres Burruchaga 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
56%44%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 78% / 22%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Roman Andres Burruchaga
13th · poor
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Return
Roman Andres Burruchaga
82th · strong
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#103
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ARG
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Roman Andres Burruchaga■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay4–3
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Umag | Clay | QF | Roman Andres Burruchaga | 6-2 2-6 6-3 |
| 2026-02-16 | Rio de Janeiro | Clay | R32 | Roman Andres Burruchaga | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Rosario CH | Clay | F | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2025-01-27 | Piracicaba CH | Clay | QF | Roman Andres Burruchaga | 7-5 4-5 RET |
| 2023-10-30 | Guayaquil CH | Clay | QF | Roman Andres Burruchaga | 6-4 5-7 6-1 |
| 2023-09-18 | Antofagasta CH | Clay | SF | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2020-02-24 | M25 Rio Cuarto | Clay | QF | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 7-6(3) 6-4 |