── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roman Andres Burruchaga
Brandon Nakashima
22%78%
Hard: 8% / 92%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 10% / 90%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roman Andres Burruchaga
13th · poor
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Roman Andres Burruchaga
82th · strong
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#103
model rank
#17
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Roman Andres Burruchaga■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30HoustonClayR16Roman Andres Burruchaga6-4 2-6 6-4