── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roman Andres Burruchaga
Brandon Nakashima
38%62%
Hard: 16% / 84%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 14% / 86%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roman Andres Burruchaga
25th · below avg
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Return
Roman Andres Burruchaga
91th · elite
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#76
model rank
#42
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Roman Andres BurruchagaBrandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30HoustonClayR16Roman Andres Burruchaga6-4 2-6 6-4