── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roman Andres Burruchaga 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roman Andres Burruchaga
Shintaro Mochizuki
77%23%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 22% / 78%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roman Andres Burruchaga
25th · below avg
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Roman Andres Burruchaga
91th · elite
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#76
model rank
#174
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
JPN
183cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Roman Andres BurruchagaShintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard02
Clay10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardQ2Shintaro Mochizuki6-4 1-6 6-4
2025-04-28Mauthausen CHClayR16Roman Andres Burruchaga6-4 6-2
2024-08-26Us OpenHardQ2Shintaro Mochizuki6-3 6-2