── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Learner Tien 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roman Andres Burruchaga
Learner Tien
26%74%
Hard: 10% / 90%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 42% / 58%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roman Andres Burruchaga
25th · below avg
Learner Tien
68th · average
Return
Roman Andres Burruchaga
91th · elite
Learner Tien
91th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#76
model rank
#17
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
USA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Roman Andres BurruchagaLearner Tien
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30HoustonClayQFRoman Andres Burruchaga7-5 6-4