── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Arthur Cazaux 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Arthur Cazaux
Mackenzie Mcdonald
67%33%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 47% / 53%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Arthur Cazaux
72th · strong
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Return
Arthur Cazaux
53th · average
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#61
model rank
#132
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Arthur CazauxMackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-06Jinan CHHardFArthur Cazaux6-3 6-2
2024-10-14Shenzhen Longhua CHHardFMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 7-6(4)