── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Cazaux 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Cazaux
Mackenzie Mcdonald
73%27%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 53% / 47%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Cazaux
74th · strong
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
Return
Arthur Cazaux
48th · average
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#65
model rank
#159
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Cazaux■ Mackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-06 | Jinan CH | Hard | F | Arthur Cazaux | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-10-14 | Shenzhen Longhua CH | Hard | F | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-4 7-6(4) |