── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Arthur Cazaux 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Arthur Cazaux
Jacob Fearnley
75%25%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 54% / 46%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Arthur Cazaux
72th · strong
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Return
Arthur Cazaux
53th · average
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#61
model rank
#158
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
GBR
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Arthur CazauxJacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-10Phoenix CHHardR32Arthur Cazaux6-2 3-6 6-1
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardR64Jacob Fearnley3-6 7-5 6-2 6-3