── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Arthur Cazaux 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Arthur Cazaux
Shintaro Mochizuki
80%20%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 38% / 62%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Arthur Cazaux
72th · strong
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Arthur Cazaux
53th · average
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#61
model rank
#174
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
JPN
183cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Arthur CazauxShintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13AlmatyHardR32Shintaro Mochizuki6-4 6-4
2025-10-06Jinan CHHardSFArthur Cazaux6-1 6-2
2023-08-28Us OpenHardQ2Arthur Cazaux6-1 6-2