── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Cazaux
Matteo Arnaldi
48%52%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Cazaux
72th · strong
Matteo Arnaldi
27th · below avg
Return
Arthur Cazaux
53th · average
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#61
model rank
#54
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Cazaux■ Matteo Arnaldi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Hangzhou | Hard | R32 | Arthur Cazaux | 6-4 3-6 7-5 |
| 2024-04-15 | Barcelona | Clay | R64 | Matteo Arnaldi | 5-5 RET |