── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex De Minaur 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Hamad Medjedovic
Alex De Minaur
22%78%
Hard: 13% / 87%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 13% / 87%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Hamad Medjedovic
69th · average
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Return
Hamad Medjedovic
28th · below avg
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#77
model rank
#10
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
AUS
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Hamad Medjedovic■ Alex De Minaur
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayR16Hamad Medjedovic6-3 6-4
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR64Alex De Minaur6-7(5) 6-2 6-2 6-1