── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Hamad Medjedovic
Alex De Minaur
29%71%
Hard: 17% / 83%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 13% / 87%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Hamad Medjedovic
73th · strong
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Return
Hamad Medjedovic
55th · average
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#43
model rank
#8
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
AUS
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Hamad Medjedovic■ Alex De Minaur
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Hamad Medjedovic | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Alex De Minaur | 6-7(5) 6-2 6-2 6-1 |