── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Holger Rune 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Hamad Medjedovic
Holger Rune
38%62%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 31% / 69%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Hamad Medjedovic
73th · strong
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Return
Hamad Medjedovic
55th · average
Holger Rune
86th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#43
model rank
#20
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
DEN
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Hamad MedjedovicHolger Rune
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-24TokyoHardR32Holger Rune7-6(7) 6-1
2025-01-31Davis Cup QLS R1: SRB vs DENHardRRHamad Medjedovic2-6 6-3 6-1