── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Hamad Medjedovic
Joao Fonseca
31%69%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 33% / 67%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Hamad Medjedovic
73th · strong
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Return
Hamad Medjedovic
55th · average
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#43
model rank
#10
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
BRA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Hamad Medjedovic■ Joao Fonseca
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Hamad Medjedovic | 3-6 6-3 7-6(1) |