── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Gabriel Diallo 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Gabriel Diallo
David Goffin
65%35%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 49% / 51%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Gabriel Diallo
66th · average
David Goffin
8th · poor
Return
Gabriel Diallo
35th · below avg
David Goffin
72th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#94
model rank
#152
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
BEL
203cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Gabriel Diallo■ David Goffin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR32Gabriel Diallo3-0 RET
2024-01-15Australian OpenHardQ3David Goffin3-6 6-3 6-2