── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Gabriel Diallo 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Gabriel Diallo
David Goffin
63%37%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
David Goffin
13th · poor
Return
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg
David Goffin
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#93
model rank
#141
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
BEL
203cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Gabriel Diallo■ David Goffin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Gabriel Diallo | 3-0 RET |
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | Q3 | David Goffin | 3-6 6-3 6-2 |