── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Grigor Dimitrov 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Gabriel Diallo
Grigor Dimitrov
38%62%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 32% / 68%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Gabriel Diallo
66th · average
Grigor Dimitrov
86th · strong
Return
Gabriel Diallo
35th · below avg
Grigor Dimitrov
71th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#94
model rank
#52
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
BUL
203cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Gabriel Diallo■ Grigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R16 | Gabriel Diallo | 5-7 7-6(7) 6-4 |