── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Gabriel Diallo 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Gabriel Diallo
Damir Dzumhur
61%39%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 81% / 19%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Damir Dzumhur
5th · poor
Return
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg
Damir Dzumhur
69th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#93
model rank
#134
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
BIH
203cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Gabriel DialloDamir Dzumhur
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR128Gabriel Diallo7-6(4) 4-6 7-5 7-5