── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Gabriel Diallo 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Gabriel Diallo
Damir Dzumhur
64%36%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 75% / 25%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Gabriel Diallo
67th · average
Damir Dzumhur
6th · poor
Return
Gabriel Diallo
36th · below avg
Damir Dzumhur
73th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#92
model rank
#148
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
BIH
203cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Gabriel Diallo■ Damir Dzumhur
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR128Gabriel Diallo7-6(4) 4-6 7-5 7-5