── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jordan Thompson a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Gabriel Diallo
Jordan Thompson
48%52%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Return
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#93
model rank
#80
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
AUS
203cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Gabriel Diallo■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-09 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | R16 | Gabriel Diallo | 4-6 6-1 7-5 |
| 2023-05-08 | Busan CH | Hard | QF | Gabriel Diallo | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-09-19 | Columbus CH | Hard | QF | Jordan Thompson | 6-2 6-1 |