── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Gabriel Diallo
Karen Khachanov
32%68%
Hard: 37% / 63%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#93
model rank
#34
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
RUS
203cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Gabriel Diallo■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard0–3
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-09 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | QF | Gabriel Diallo | 7-6(6) 6-4 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Karen Khachanov | 7-6(4) 4-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-10-14 | Almaty | Hard | F | Karen Khachanov | 6-2 5-7 6-3 |
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Karen Khachanov | 6-4 6-4 |