── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Gabriel Diallo
Andrey Rublev
25%75%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 14% / 86%
Grass: 40% / 60%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Return
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#93
model rank
#19
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
RUS
203cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Gabriel DialloAndrey Rublev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR64Gabriel Diallo6-7(4) 7-6(1) 6-3