── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Gabriel Diallo
Andrey Rublev
28%72%
Hard: 32% / 68%
Clay: 12% / 88%
Grass: 44% / 56%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Gabriel Diallo
67th · average
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Return
Gabriel Diallo
36th · below avg
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#92
model rank
#28
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
RUS
203cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Gabriel Diallo■ Andrey Rublev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR64Gabriel Diallo6-7(4) 7-6(1) 6-3