── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Gabriel Diallo 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Gabriel Diallo
Aleksandar Vukic
67%33%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 67% / 33%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Aleksandar Vukic
26th · below avg
Return
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg
Aleksandar Vukic
7th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#93
model rank
#152
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
AUS
203cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Gabriel DialloAleksandar Vukic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
Hard01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-09s HertogenboschGrassR32Gabriel Diallo7-5 7-6(2)
2023-01-16Australian OpenHardQ1Aleksandar Vukic6-3 6-4