── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Gabriel Diallo a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Gabriel Diallo
Jesper De Jong
55%45%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 28% / 72%
Grass: 80% / 20%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Gabriel Diallo
67th · average
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Return
Gabriel Diallo
36th · below avg
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#92
model rank
#112
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
NED
203cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Gabriel Diallo■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | R32 | Gabriel Diallo | 6-4 7-6(7) |