── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mattia Bellucci 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Gabriel Diallo
Mattia Bellucci
43%57%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 43% / 57%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Gabriel Diallo
67th · average
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Return
Gabriel Diallo
36th · below avg
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#92
model rank
#66
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CAN
country
ITA
203cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Gabriel Diallo■ Mattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–2
Grass0–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Gabriel Diallo | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2025-02-24 | Acapulco | Hard | Q2 | Gabriel Diallo | 6-1 6-0 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cary CH | Hard | SF | Mattia Bellucci | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-06-10 | Nottingham CH | Grass | R32 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-4 4-6 7-5 |
| 2023-08-14 | Winnipeg CH | Hard | R16 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-2 6-3 |