── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Vilius Gaubas
Sebastian Baez
38%62%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 65% / 35%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Vilius Gaubas
16th · poor
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Vilius Gaubas
17th · poor
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#141
model rank
#89
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
LTU
country
ARG
178cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Vilius Gaubas■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Vilius Gaubas | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2026-03-30 | Bucharest | Clay | R32 | Sebastian Baez | 6-3 6-1 |