── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fery 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Fery
Fabio Fognini
77%23%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Fery
33th · below avg
Fabio Fognini
6th · poor
Return
Arthur Fery
79th · strong
Fabio Fognini
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#45
model rank
#153
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
ITA
175cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Fery■ Fabio Fognini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Nottingham 2 CH | Grass | R32 | Arthur Fery | 6-3 7-6(5) |