── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luciano Darderi
Alexander Zverev
15%85%
Hard: 10% / 90%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 8% / 92%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Return
Luciano Darderi
65th · average
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#43
model rank
#4
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GER
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luciano Darderi■ Alexander Zverev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | US Open | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-2 7-6(3) |
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Luciano Darderi | 1-6 7-6(10) 6-0 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 7-6(3) 6-2 |