── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luciano Darderi
Alexander Zverev
18%82%
Hard: 5% / 95%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 13% / 87%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Return
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#37
model rank
#4
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GER
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Luciano DarderiAlexander Zverev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR16Luciano Darderi1-6 7-6(10) 6-0
2024-05-06Rome MastersClayR32Alexander Zverev7-6(3) 6-2