── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luciano Darderi 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luciano Darderi
Marcos Giron
62%38%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 21% / 79%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Marcos Giron
62th · average
Return
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Marcos Giron
71th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#37
model rank
#65
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Luciano DarderiMarcos Giron
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard01
Grass01
Clay10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AucklandHardQFMarcos Giron1-6 7-5 6-4
2025-06-23EastbourneGrassR32Marcos Giron6-4 7-5
2024-04-01HoustonClayQFLuciano Darderi6-0 6-4