── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luciano Darderi 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luciano Darderi
Thiago Monteiro
79%21%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Thiago Monteiro
54th · average
Return
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Thiago Monteiro
3th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#37
model rank
#146
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
BRA
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Luciano DarderiThiago Monteiro
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay21
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-01Genoa CHClayQFLuciano Darderi7-5 6-2
2023-10-02Campinas CHClaySFThiago Monteiro6-2 6-1
2023-08-28Como CHClayR32Luciano Darderi6-3 6-2