── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luciano Darderi 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luciano Darderi
Yoshihito Nishioka
75%25%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 58% / 42%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Return
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#37
model rank
#128
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
JPN
183cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Luciano DarderiYoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-24TokyoHardR32Luciano Darderi7-6(9) 6-3