── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luciano Darderi 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luciano Darderi
Yoshihito Nishioka
80%20%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 60% / 40%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Yoshihito Nishioka
23th · below avg
Return
Luciano Darderi
65th · average
Yoshihito Nishioka
56th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#43
model rank
#167
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
JPN
183cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Luciano Darderi■ Yoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-24TokyoHardR32Luciano Darderi7-6(9) 6-3