── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luciano Darderi 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luciano Darderi
Cristian Garin
66%34%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 26% / 74%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Cristian Garin
28th · below avg
Return
Luciano Darderi
66th · average
Cristian Garin
65th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#42
model rank
#99
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CHI
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Luciano Darderi■ Cristian Garin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR128Luciano Darderi7-6(5) 7-5 7-6(3)
2023-07-03Milan CHClayR32Luciano Darderi6-3 7-5