── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luciano Darderi 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luciano Darderi
Cristian Garin
69%31%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 23% / 77%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Cristian Garin
31th · below avg
Return
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Cristian Garin
72th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#37
model rank
#99
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CHI
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Luciano DarderiCristian Garin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR128Luciano Darderi7-6(5) 7-5 7-6(3)
2023-07-03Milan CHClayR32Luciano Darderi6-3 7-5