── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luciano Darderi
Karen Khachanov
40%60%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 16% / 84%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Karen Khachanov
90th · elite
Return
Luciano Darderi
65th · average
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#43
model rank
#26
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
RUS
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luciano Darderi■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Luciano Darderi | 7-6(5) 3-6 6-3 6-4 |