── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luciano Darderi
Karen Khachanov
49%51%
Hard: 17% / 83%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 14% / 86%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#37
model rank
#34
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
RUS
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luciano Darderi■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Luciano Darderi | 7-6(5) 3-6 6-3 6-4 |