── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luciano Darderi
Tommy Paul
35%65%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 12% / 88%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Return
Luciano Darderi
66th · average
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#42
model rank
#16
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luciano Darderi■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
Hard0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Luciano Darderi | 3-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-4 7-6(2) |
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | Clay | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-4 |