── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Tabilo a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luciano Darderi
Alejandro Tabilo
47%53%
Hard: 23% / 77%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 28% / 72%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#37
model rank
#30
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
CHI
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Luciano DarderiAlejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
Clay12
── 6 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AucklandHardR16Luciano Darderi1-6 7-5 6-3
2025-09-17ChengduHardR16Alejandro Tabilo6-4 6-3
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersHardR64Luciano Darderi6-3 7-6(5)
2024-02-26SantiagoClayQFAlejandro Tabilo6-0 7-5
2023-11-06Lima CHClaySFLuciano Darderi7-5 4-6 6-3
2023-01-23Concepcion CHClayR16Alejandro Tabilo6-4 7-5