── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Luciano Darderi 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luciano Darderi
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
65%35%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 78% / 22%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#37
model rank
#82
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luciano Darderi■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay5–3
── 8 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-20 | Umag | Clay | SF | Luciano Darderi | 7-6(6) 6-3 |
| 2024-05-13 | Turin CH | Clay | R32 | Luciano Darderi | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-04-29 | Cagliari CH | Clay | R16 | Luciano Darderi | 6-3 6-0 |
| 2023-11-06 | Lima CH | Clay | R16 | Luciano Darderi | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-10-30 | Guayaquil CH | Clay | R16 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 4-6 7-6(5) 6-2 |
| 2022-10-10 | Rio De Janeiro CH | Clay | R32 | Luciano Darderi | 4-6 6-1 6-1 |
| 2021-11-08 | Montevideo CH | Clay | R32 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-03-29 | M15 Villa Maria | Clay | R32 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-2 6-4 |