── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Luciano Darderi 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luciano Darderi
Sebastian Baez
64%36%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 59% / 41%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#37
model rank
#77
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
183cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luciano Darderi■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay4–3
Hard1–1
── 9 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Santiago | Clay | SF | Luciano Darderi | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2026-02-09 | Buenos Aires | Clay | SF | Luciano Darderi | 7-6(2) 6-1 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Luciano Darderi | 6-3 1-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2025-07-14 | Bastad | Clay | QF | Luciano Darderi | 6-0 6-2 |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 6-7(3) 6-0 7-6(4) |
| 2024-07-15 | Hamburg | Clay | QF | Sebastian Baez | 2-6 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-02-12 | Buenos Aires | Clay | R16 | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024-02-05 | Cordoba | Clay | SF | Luciano Darderi | 6-1 3-6 6-3 |
| 2023-02-06 | Cordoba | Clay | R16 | Sebastian Baez | 6-3 6-4 |