── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luciano Darderi
Brandon Nakashima
36%64%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 14% / 86%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Luciano Darderi
66th · average
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#42
model rank
#17
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luciano Darderi■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–2
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Canada Masters | Hard | QF | Brandon Nakashima | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2025-10-20 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2025-05-18 | Hamburg | Clay | R16 | Luciano Darderi | 7-5 6-7(7) 6-2 |