── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luciano Darderi a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luciano Darderi
Brandon Nakashima
52%48%
Hard: 19% / 81%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 15% / 85%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Return
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#37
model rank
#42
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Luciano DarderiBrandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard01
Clay10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-20ViennaHardR32Brandon Nakashima6-2 7-5
2025-05-18HamburgClayR16Luciano Darderi7-5 6-7(7) 6-2