── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luciano Darderi 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luciano Darderi
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
57%43%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 79% / 21%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38th · below avg
Return
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
66th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#37
model rank
#51
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
ARG
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Luciano DarderiJuan Manuel Cerundolo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay43
── 7 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR64Luciano Darderi6-1 6-3
2026-02-16Rio de JaneiroClayR32Juan Manuel Cerundolo6-1 3-6 6-4
2024-02-26SantiagoClayR16Luciano Darderi6-3 3-6 6-3
2024-02-19Rio De JaneiroClayQ1Juan Manuel Cerundolo6-2 6-2
2023-10-09Buenos Aires CHClayQFLuciano Darderi6-3 7-5
2023-10-02Campinas CHClayR16Luciano Darderi6-2 6-4
2022-05-23Vicenza CHClayR16Juan Manuel Cerundolo6-4 6-1