── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Luciano Darderi 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luciano Darderi
Mattia Bellucci
57%43%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 20% / 80%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Return
Luciano Darderi
65th · average
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#43
model rank
#66
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
ITA
183cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luciano Darderi■ Mattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R32 | Luciano Darderi | 2-6 6-4 6-2 |
| 2026-03-30 | Marrakech | Clay | R16 | Luciano Darderi | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | Q3 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-4 6-1 |