── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luciano Darderi 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luciano Darderi
Gabriel Diallo
64%36%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 26% / 74%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Gabriel Diallo
66th · average
Return
Luciano Darderi
66th · average
Gabriel Diallo
35th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#42
model rank
#94
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CAN
183cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Luciano Darderi■ Gabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-05Canada MastersHardR64Luciano Darderi6-4 2-3 RET