── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luciano Darderi
Rafael Jodar
29%71%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Return
Luciano Darderi
65th · average
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#43
model rank
#7
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
—
ITA
country
ESP
183cm
height
—
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luciano Darderi■ Rafael Jodar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | QF | Luciano Darderi | 7-6(5) 5-7 6-0 |